Thursday’s post ended on a one-dimensional dial and a promise. The promise was that a single dimension is exactly what majority rule needs in order to behave. Turn an evaluation loose across many dimensions and it cycles — McKelvey and Schofield, the chaos in this blog’s masthead1 — but compress the whole question of equitable-versus-uniform … Read more
Wednesday’s post answered what selects: a stationary distribution, the wheel turning by no hand in particular. Knowing what the dynamics pick, though, is not the same as knowing whether they picked well. So step off the graph — out of the local view every node is stuck inside — and try to do the one … Read more
Last week I asked you to take your hand off the lever. The argument, compressed, was that the designer we kept reaching for — the planner who would tune the network so cooperation paid and nobody got fleeced — dissolves the moment you write him into the model. There is no seat at the controls. … Read more
UENO — Two kinds of time trouble follow me around, and only one of them is worth a paragraph. The first is jet lag, which is real, tedious, and has nothing to teach anybody: my body is keeping East Coast hours in a city that gave them up long ago, and it will right itself … Read more
Six posts since the last Dispatch, four of them a single arc on AI as a classification system. The arc started with a Vice President who could not evaluate her engineers, passed through a benchmark that turned out to be measuring string length, paused on a paper about elite athletes that was Berkson’s paradox in … Read more
There are no stupid questions… Dear NSQ, I grew up in Pittsburgh and learned to drive there. Last month I took a left turn from Tate Street onto West Market Street the way I always have — when the light turned green, I went, before the oncoming traffic could reach the intersection. The driver across … Read more
Five posts since the last Dispatch, organized as two arcs: Monday through Wednesday tracked the news in real time, Thursday and Friday returned to the methodological pieces those posts depended on. The tightest moment came Wednesday — the Iran prediction the April 17 post staked landed around 5pm, and the Virginia rule the Wednesday post … Read more
Yesterday Virginia voters ratified a constitutional amendment giving the General Assembly temporary authority to redraw the state’s congressional districts before 2031. Most of what you will read about the result over the next few days will concern seats — specifically, whether Virginia Democrats will in fact net four additional House seats in November under the … Read more
Monday’s post introduced the junk drawer as a structural feature of any well-designed classification system — not a failure to be corrected, but a load-bearing component. It offered a typology: the lost key, which is in the drawer because it is waiting on information that hasn’t arrived yet, and the screwdriver, which is in the … Read more