No News Is Bad News (or, “The Junk Drawer Is a Bet”)

“Should I put this in the junk drawer?” “I dunno. Do you think you could figure out where it goes?” That exchange is short enough to miss, and it is the entire subject of today’s post. The first post in this series introduced the junk drawer as a load-bearing component of any well-designed classification system, … Read more

Because I Said So (or, Why a Smart President Should Want to Lose Trump v. Cook)

The Supreme Court has twenty-three cases left to decide this month, and one of them is Trump v. Cook. The facts, briefly: last August, the President posted a letter announcing the immediate removal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing uninvestigated allegations that she misstated her residency on mortgage paperwork before she joined the Board. … Read more

Dispatches from the Underground, May 15, 2026

Six posts since the last Dispatch, four of them a single arc on AI as a classification system. The arc started with a Vice President who could not evaluate her engineers, passed through a benchmark that turned out to be measuring string length, paused on a paper about elite athletes that was Berkson’s paradox in … Read more

FEMA Holds the Screwdrivers

When I introduced the junk drawer a few posts back, the example was a physical one. Most kitchens have a drawer that holds the screwdriver, the rubber bands, the takeout menus, the AAA batteries, and the one weird key nobody can identify. The drawer is not a failure of organization. It is the part of … Read more

Your AI Makes Bean Soup? Sure, But Mine Makes 7 Bean Soup!

A Vice President at a large technology company sits down at the end of the quarter to evaluate her engineering team. She has twelve direct reports. They have spent the quarter using AI tools heavily, as the company’s leadership has insisted they do. She must now write performance reviews. She has to say, in writing, … Read more

Dispatches from the Underground: April 26, 2026

Five posts since the last Dispatch, organized as two arcs: Monday through Wednesday tracked the news in real time, Thursday and Friday returned to the methodological pieces those posts depended on. The tightest moment came Wednesday — the Iran prediction the April 17 post staked landed around 5pm, and the Virginia rule the Wednesday post … Read more

What the Dashboard Didn’t Show You (Or, “The Denominator Moved”)

Roosevelt Elementary started Year 1 of Elevate with 100 students. It ended the year with 400. The other two schools held roughly steady. The district grew from 600 students to 900, and the composition of that denominator shifted decisively toward the lowest-scoring school. That one fact explains the entire dashboard. Elevate worked. Every school’s average … Read more

Apparently, the Framers Wanted You to Listen to Your Parents (or, “From the Junk Drawer to the Kitchen Sink, SCOTUS Style”)

For more than a century, the constitutional status of religious exemptions from childhood vaccine mandates sat quietly unresolved. States offered exemptions — or didn’t — as a matter of legislative discretion. No court had to rule on whether parental religious objection was a constitutional right or merely a policy option that legislators could extend or … Read more

Quasi (or, “If You Don’t Have A Junk Drawer”)

Monday’s post introduced the junk drawer as a structural feature of any well-designed classification system — not a failure to be corrected, but a load-bearing component. It offered a typology: the lost key, which is in the drawer because it is waiting on information that hasn’t arrived yet, and the screwdriver, which is in the … Read more

The Junk Drawer

Every home and office has one. You know which drawer I mean — the one with the takeout menus and the dead batteries and the rubber band that used to hold something together and the key that opens something, somewhere, you just can’t remember what. It is not a disorganized drawer. It is a perfectly … Read more